FairValue

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Valentino

Lazaro

RMAustria · Torino FC

№ 186368Established €2.9M −0.16

Player dossierSerie A

ValentinoLazaro

RMRight MidfieldMidfield

Club
Torino FC
League
Serie A
Nationality
Austria
Age
30
Height
181 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Lazaro at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Lazaro during training, estimates €2.9M: the market value is 15% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.17. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.7M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.16A €2.9M▼ −0.07B €2.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
70
Minutes
4,916
Goals
0
Assists
9
Started
55/70
Min / app
70
Cards
11Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lazaro…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €2.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Valentino Lazaro's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 75th, Minutes, two years 85th, Starts 68th, Minutes, last 365 days 77th, European club minutes 30th10thGoals75thAssists85thMinutes68thStarts77thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

4,916 this player2,607 midfielder median85th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Aug 2012
Peak
€19M
Oct 2019
Model target
€2.5M
May 2026
Valuations
37
6 club changes
May 2026€2.5MTorino FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.5M, Torino FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-08-10€200kRed Bull Salzburg
2012-12-19€500kRed Bull Salzburg
2013-06-04€500kRed Bull Salzburg
2013-12-27€500kRed Bull Salzburg
2014-06-20€900kRed Bull Salzburg
2014-10-21€1.8MRed Bull Salzburg
2015-01-11€1.8MRed Bull Salzburg
2015-06-17€2.5MRed Bull Salzburg
2015-10-02€2MRed Bull Salzburg
2015-12-29€2MRed Bull Salzburg
2016-06-01€2MRed Bull Salzburg
2016-10-06€3MRed Bull Salzburg
2016-12-22€3MRed Bull Salzburg
2017-06-02€3MRed Bull Salzburg
2017-12-28€5MHertha BSC
2018-04-04€7.5MHertha BSC
2018-06-05€9MHertha BSC
2018-10-22€15MHertha BSC
2018-12-18€17MHertha BSC
2019-06-05€17MHertha BSC
2019-10-08€19MInter Milan
2019-12-12€19MInter Milan
2020-04-08€15MNewcastle United
2021-02-10€15MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2021-03-31€10MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2021-05-27€10MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2021-12-27€8MSL Benfica
2022-05-31€6MSL Benfica
2022-11-11€6.5MTorino FC
2023-06-15€5MTorino FC
2023-12-20€4.5MTorino FC
2024-06-05€3.5MTorino FC
2024-12-18€3.5MTorino FC
2025-03-25€4.5MTorino FC
2025-06-17€4.5MTorino FC
2025-12-23€4MTorino FC
2026-05-29€2.5MTorino FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.161

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 24% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Lazaro appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).