FairValue

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Jean-Philippe

Gbamin

CBCote d'Ivoire · FC Metz

№ 182894Established €1.3M +0.40

Player dossierLigue 1

Jean-PhilippeGbamin

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
FC Metz
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
Cote d'Ivoire
Age
30
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Gbamin at €2M. Model A, which never saw Gbamin during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 49% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.49. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.40A €1.3M▲ +0.17B €1.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
45
Minutes
2,699
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
32/45
Min / app
60
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gbamin…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €1.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Jean-Philippe Gbamin's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 52nd, Assists per 90 46th, Minutes, two years 47th, Starts 29th, Minutes, last 365 days 75th, European club minutes 30th52ndGoals46thAssists47thMinutes29thStarts75thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,489 this player1,687 defender median75th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Aug 2013
Peak
€30M
Dec 2018
Model target
€2M
Jun 2026
Valuations
36
9 club changes
Jun 2026€2MFC MetzValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2M, FC Metz. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-08-07€200kRC Lens
2013-09-13€500kRC Lens
2014-01-13€1.3MRC Lens
2014-08-07€2MRC Lens
2015-01-14€2.8MRC Lens
2015-06-06€3.5MRC Lens
2015-09-06€3MRC Lens
2016-02-04€2.5MRC Lens
2016-07-13€2.5M1.FSV Mainz 05
2016-10-13€4.5M1.FSV Mainz 05
2017-02-07€5M1.FSV Mainz 05
2017-06-19€5M1.FSV Mainz 05
2017-12-28€8M1.FSV Mainz 05
2018-04-04€15M1.FSV Mainz 05
2018-06-05€15M1.FSV Mainz 05
2018-08-22€25M1.FSV Mainz 05
2018-12-18€30M1.FSV Mainz 05
2019-06-05€28M1.FSV Mainz 05
2019-12-10€28MEverton FC
2020-04-08€22.5MEverton FC
2020-10-13€20MEverton FC
2021-03-18€18MEverton FC
2021-06-08€15MEverton FC
2021-12-23€10MEverton FC
2022-06-02€9MCSKA Moscow
2022-10-27€9MTrabzonspor
2023-03-14€6.5MTrabzonspor
2023-06-08€4.8MTrabzonspor
2023-10-25€4MWithout Club
2023-12-13€3MUSL Dunkerque
2024-03-26€2.5MUSL Dunkerque
2024-06-11€2.5MUSL Dunkerque
2024-12-10€2MFC Nantes
2025-06-10€2MFC Zürich
2025-12-15€2MFC Metz
2026-06-01€2MFC Metz

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.400

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 20% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Gbamin appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).