FairValue

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Portrait of Piotr Zielinski

Piotr

Zielinski

CMPoland · Inter Milan

№ 181136Elite €9.9M +0.01

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

PiotrZielinski

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Inter Milan
League
Serie A
Nationality
Poland
Age
32
Height
180 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Zielinski at €10M. Model A, which never saw Zielinski during training, estimates €9.9M: the market value is 1% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.01. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.01A €9.9M▲ +0.56B €5.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
87
Minutes
4,663
Goals
9
Assists
7
Started
48/87
Min / app
54
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Zielinski…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €10MModel A €9.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Piotr Zielinski's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 77th, Assists per 90 66th, Minutes, two years 83rd, Starts 28th, Minutes, last 365 days 89th, European club minutes 92nd77thGoals66thAssists83rdMinutes28thStarts89thRecent92ndEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

26% this player0% midfielder median92nd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
May 2011
Peak
€50M
May 2021
Model target
€10M
May 2026
Valuations
38
6 club changes
May 2026€10MInter MilanValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €10M, Inter Milan. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-05-30€50kZaglebie Lubin II
2011-09-25€100kUdinese Primavera
2013-01-15€300kUdinese Calcio
2013-06-19€3MUdinese Calcio
2014-01-07€3MUdinese Calcio
2014-07-01€2.5MUdinese Calcio
2015-01-07€2.5MFC Empoli
2015-07-01€2.5MFC Empoli
2016-01-04€4MFC Empoli
2016-04-01€7MFC Empoli
2016-06-01€12MFC Empoli
2016-07-15€12MUdinese Calcio
2016-10-14€14MSSC Napoli
2017-01-02€16MSSC Napoli
2017-06-08€20MSSC Napoli
2017-12-29€25MSSC Napoli
2018-06-07€32MSSC Napoli
2018-10-12€40MSSC Napoli
2018-12-20€40MSSC Napoli
2019-06-06€40MSSC Napoli
2019-12-12€40MSSC Napoli
2020-04-08€32MSSC Napoli
2020-08-25€35MSSC Napoli
2020-12-29€40MSSC Napoli
2021-03-23€46MSSC Napoli
2021-05-31€50MSSC Napoli
2021-12-28€50MSSC Napoli
2022-06-07€40MSSC Napoli
2022-11-11€40MSSC Napoli
2023-06-15€35MSSC Napoli
2023-12-20€30MSSC Napoli
2024-03-12€25MSSC Napoli
2024-06-05€22MSSC Napoli
2024-12-18€18MInter Milan
2025-03-25€14MInter Milan
2025-06-17€10MInter Milan
2025-12-23€10MInter Milan
2026-05-29€10MInter Milan

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.009

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 65% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 78% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Zielinski appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).