FairValue

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Adnan

Januzaj

RWBelgium · Sevilla FC

№ 177847Emerging €1.3M −0.29

Player dossierLaLiga

AdnanJanuzaj

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Sevilla FC
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Belgium
Age
31
Height
186 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Januzaj at €1M. Model A, which never saw Januzaj during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 25% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.34. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €508k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.29A €1.3M▲ +0.68B €508k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
33
Minutes
1,048
Goals
4
Assists
1
Started
9/33
Min / app
32
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Januzaj…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €1.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Adnan Januzaj's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 66th, Assists per 90 26th, Minutes, two years 21st, Starts 8th, Minutes, last 365 days 10th, European club minutes 28th66thGoals26thAssists21stMinutes8thStarts10thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.34 this player0.26 attacker median66th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€2M
Nov 2013
Peak
€15M
Jul 2018
Model target
€1M
Jun 2026
Valuations
34
8 club changes
Jun 2026€1MSevilla FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1M, Sevilla FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-11-05€2MManchester United
2014-01-15€6MManchester United
2014-08-12€10MManchester United
2015-02-12€10MManchester United
2015-07-01€8MManchester United
2016-02-09€7MManchester United
2016-08-01€7MManchester United
2017-02-20€7MSunderland AFC
2017-06-28€7MManchester United
2017-08-17€8.5MReal Sociedad
2018-01-01€10MReal Sociedad
2018-05-30€12MReal Sociedad
2018-07-16€15MReal Sociedad
2018-12-21€15MReal Sociedad
2019-06-11€15MReal Sociedad
2019-12-20€12MReal Sociedad
2020-04-08€9.5MReal Sociedad
2020-10-08€10MReal Sociedad
2021-01-05€10MReal Sociedad
2021-06-10€12MReal Sociedad
2021-12-30€12MReal Sociedad
2022-06-03€12MReal Sociedad
2022-09-23€9MSevilla FC
2022-11-07€7MSevilla FC
2023-03-14€7MBasaksehir FK
2023-06-08€6MBasaksehir FK
2023-10-13€4MSevilla FC
2023-12-22€3MSevilla FC
2024-06-07€2MSevilla FC
2024-12-27€1.5MUD Las Palmas
2025-03-21€1.2MUD Las Palmas
2025-06-09€1.2MUD Las Palmas
2025-12-12€1.2MSevilla FC
2026-06-05€1MSevilla FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.291

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 8% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 29% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Januzaj appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).