FairValue

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Luccas

Claro

CBBrazil · Eyüpspor

№ 175179Emerging €182k −0.20

Player dossierSüper Lig

LuccasClaro

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Eyüpspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Brazil
Age
34
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Claro at €150k. Model A, which never saw Claro during training, estimates €182k: the market value is 18% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.22. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €249k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.20A €182k▼ −0.51B €249k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
51
Minutes
4,388
Goals
2
Assists
1
Started
49/51
Min / app
86
Cards
11Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Claro…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €150k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €150kModel A €182k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Luccas Claro's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 57th, Assists per 90 38th, Minutes, two years 75th, Starts 87th, Minutes, last 365 days 45th, European club minutes 30th57thGoals38thAssists75thMinutes87thStarts45thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

96% this player83% defender median87th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Apr 2011
Peak
€2.3M
May 2015
Model target
€150k
May 2026
Valuations
38
3 club changes
May 2026€150kEyüpsporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €150k, Eyüpspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-04-18€50kCoritiba Foot Ball Club
2011-05-30€50kCoritiba Foot Ball Club
2011-12-08€150kCoritiba Foot Ball Club
2012-05-24€150kCoritiba Foot Ball Club
2012-07-29€200kCoritiba Foot Ball Club
2012-12-06€400kCoritiba Foot Ball Club
2014-08-07€600kCoritiba Foot Ball Club
2015-02-01€2MCoritiba Foot Ball Club
2015-05-31€2.3MCoritiba Foot Ball Club
2015-12-15€1MCoritiba Foot Ball Club
2016-05-27€750kCoritiba Foot Ball Club
2017-01-10€1MGenclerbirligi Ankara
2017-06-09€1MGenclerbirligi Ankara
2018-02-12€750kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2018-05-29€550kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2019-01-07€700kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2019-06-17€500kGenclerbirligi Ankara
2019-11-27€500kFluminense Football Club
2020-04-08€400kFluminense Football Club
2020-09-09€900kFluminense Football Club
2021-02-09€1MFluminense Football Club
2021-05-28€1.2MFluminense Football Club
2021-12-17€1.2MFluminense Football Club
2022-04-06€1.2MFluminense Football Club
2022-11-15€700kEyüpspor
2023-04-03€600kEyüpspor
2023-06-23€600kEyüpspor
2023-10-20€600kEyüpspor
2023-12-29€550kEyüpspor
2024-03-26€500kEyüpspor
2024-06-13€450kEyüpspor
2024-10-04€400kEyüpspor
2024-12-23€400kEyüpspor
2025-03-20€400kEyüpspor
2025-06-18€400kEyüpspor
2025-12-17€300kEyüpspor
2026-03-05€200kEyüpspor
2026-05-21€150kEyüpspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.196

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 4% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 3% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Claro appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).