Lucas
Pirard
GKBelgium · Standard Liège
Player dossierPro League
LucasPirard
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Standard Liège
- League
- Pro League
- Nationality
- Belgium
- Age
- 31
- Height
- 191 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Pirard at €350k. Model A, which never saw Pirard during training, estimates €541k: the market value is 35% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.55. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €472k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 18
- Minutes
- 1,531
- Started
- 16/18
- Min / app
- 85
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pirard…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €350k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Minutes, last 365 days
Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.
990 this player1,560 goalkeeper median37th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Feb 2014
- Peak
- €1.5M
- Jan 2018
- Model target
- €350k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 29
- 6 club changes
Jun 2026: €350k, Standard Liège. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2014-02-10 | €100k | Standard Liège |
| 2014-06-28 | €100k | Standard Liège |
| 2015-01-07 | €100k | Standard Liège |
| 2015-03-24 | €200k | Standard Liège |
| 2015-10-28 | €400k | Lommel United |
| 2016-07-15 | €400k | Sint-Truidense VV |
| 2017-01-21 | €700k | Sint-Truidense VV |
| 2017-06-06 | €900k | Sint-Truidense VV |
| 2017-10-20 | €1.2M | Sint-Truidense VV |
| 2018-01-09 | €1.5M | Sint-Truidense VV |
| 2018-06-03 | €1.2M | Sint-Truidense VV |
| 2018-09-11 | €1M | Sint-Truidense VV |
| 2018-12-27 | €900k | Sint-Truidense VV |
| 2019-06-10 | €800k | Sint-Truidense VV |
| 2019-09-13 | €500k | KVRS Waasland - SK Beveren |
| 2019-12-13 | €500k | KVRS Waasland - SK Beveren |
| 2020-04-08 | €400k | KVRS Waasland - SK Beveren |
| 2020-10-16 | €400k | KVRS Waasland - SK Beveren |
| 2021-10-06 | €400k | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2022-01-06 | €400k | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2022-04-12 | €400k | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2022-11-04 | €400k | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2023-06-09 | €400k | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2023-12-19 | €300k | KV Kortrijk |
| 2024-06-04 | €400k | KV Kortrijk |
| 2024-12-11 | €300k | KV Kortrijk |
| 2025-06-12 | €250k | KV Kortrijk |
| 2025-12-10 | €200k | Standard Liège |
| 2026-06-04 | €350k | Standard Liège |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.436
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Pro League350 players · median €1.8M
Valued above 5% of the 350 Pro League players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 20% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Pirard appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GodeauCBSK Beveren · Pro League€350k
- MbenzaRWRoyal Charleroi SC · Pro League€350k
- BruggenDMCercle Brugge · Pro League€400k
- FayeCBRAAL La Louvière · Pro League€400k
- BatzGK1.FSV Mainz 05 · goalkeepers€350k
- RoblesGKGD Estoril Praia · goalkeepers€350k
- ObukhovGKFakel Voronezh · goalkeepers€350k
- MekhanivGKLivyi Bereg Kyiv · goalkeepers€350k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).