BrunoGodeau

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club: SK Beveren
League: Pro League
Nationality: Belgium
Age: 33
Height: 190 cm
Foot: Left
Valued: 18 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Godeau at €350k. Model A, which never saw Godeau during training, estimates €256k: the market value is 37% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.37. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €279k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 38
Minutes: 3,359
Goals: 0
Assists: 0
Started: 38/38
Min / app: 88
Cards: 3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Godeau…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €350k

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player83% defender median97th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €100k; Sept 2012
Peak: €900k; Jul 2016
Model target: €350k; Dec 2025
Valuations: 30; 7 club changes

Dec 2025€350kSK BeverenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €350k, SK Beveren. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2012-09-18	€100k	Zulte Waregem
2013-01-09	€600k	Zulte Waregem
2013-06-25	€800k	Zulte Waregem
2014-02-10	€800k	Zulte Waregem
2014-06-28	€800k	Zulte Waregem
2015-01-11	€800k	KVC Westerlo
2015-10-22	€600k	Zulte Waregem
2016-02-07	€750k	KV Oostende (-2024)
2016-07-15	€900k	KV Oostende (-2024)
2017-01-21	€900k	KV Oostende (-2024)
2017-06-06	€900k	KV Oostende (-2024)
2018-01-09	€800k	Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2018-06-03	€650k	Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2018-12-27	€650k	Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2019-03-04	€800k	Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2019-06-10	€800k	Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2019-12-13	€900k	Royal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2020-04-08	€725k	KAA Gent
2020-10-16	€700k	KAA Gent
2021-01-04	€600k	KAA Gent
2021-06-07	€600k	KAA Gent
2022-01-06	€600k	KAA Gent
2022-04-12	€600k	KAA Gent
2022-11-04	€500k	KAA Gent
2023-06-09	€400k	KAA Gent
2023-12-19	€500k	Sint-Truidense VV
2024-06-04	€600k	Sint-Truidense VV
2024-12-11	€500k	Sint-Truidense VV
2025-06-12	€400k	Sint-Truidense VV
2025-12-18	€350k	SK Beveren

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: +0.313

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 5% of the 350 Pro League players.

See them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 12% of the 2,065 defenders.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Godeau appears

TerminalPro League in the Player Explorer
TerminalPro League on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).