FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Maksym

Mekhaniv

GKUkraine · Livyi Bereg Kyiv

№ 522831Emerging €370k −0.05

Player dossierPremier Liha

MaksymMekhaniv

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Livyi Bereg Kyiv
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
29
Height
184 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
18 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Mekhaniv at €350k. Model A, which never saw Mekhaniv during training, estimates €370k: the market value is 5% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.06. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €756k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.05A €370k▼ −0.77B €756k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
30
Minutes
2,700
Started
30/30
Min / app
90
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Mekhaniv…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €350k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €350kModel A €370k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Maksym Mekhaniv's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 48th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 41st, European club minutes 32nd48thMinutes62ndStarts41stRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Oct 2020
Peak
€400k
Mar 2025
Model target
€350k
Dec 2025
Valuations
14
1 club change
Dec 2025€350kLivyi Bereg KyivValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €350k, Livyi Bereg Kyiv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-10-05€25kNyva Ternopil
2020-12-05€50kNyva Ternopil
2021-06-17€75kNyva Ternopil
2021-12-06€150kNyva Ternopil
2022-05-18€150kNyva Ternopil
2022-12-06€200kNyva Ternopil
2023-06-21€200kNyva Ternopil
2023-12-11€200kNyva Ternopil
2024-06-06€250kLivyi Bereg Kyiv
2024-09-12€300kLivyi Bereg Kyiv
2024-12-17€300kLivyi Bereg Kyiv
2025-03-21€400kLivyi Bereg Kyiv
2025-06-10€400kLivyi Bereg Kyiv
2025-12-18€350kLivyi Bereg Kyiv

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.055

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 37% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€350kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 20% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€350kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Mekhaniv appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).