FairValue

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Djibril

Sidibé

RBFrance · FC Toulouse

№ 161869Emerging €1.5M −0.40

Player dossierLigue 1

DjibrilSidibé

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
FC Toulouse
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
France
Age
33
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sidibé at €1M. Model A, which never saw Sidibé during training, estimates €1.5M: the market value is 33% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.50. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €889k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.40A €1.5M▲ +0.12B €889k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
60
Minutes
4,252
Goals
3
Assists
7
Started
49/60
Min / app
71
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sidibé…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €1.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Djibril Sidibé's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 72nd, Assists per 90 88th, Minutes, two years 73rd, Starts 48th, Minutes, last 365 days 66th, European club minutes 30th72ndGoals88thAssists73rdMinutes48thStarts66thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.15 this player0.04 defender median88th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
May 2011
Peak
€23M
Jan 2018
Model target
€1M
Jun 2026
Valuations
39
6 club changes
Jun 2026€1MFC ToulouseValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1M, FC Toulouse. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-05-30€300kESTAC Troyes
2011-12-25€750kESTAC Troyes
2012-06-01€1.8MESTAC Troyes
2012-08-23€2.5MLOSC Lille
2013-01-07€2.5MLOSC Lille
2013-05-30€3MLOSC Lille
2014-01-14€2.5MLOSC Lille
2014-08-07€2.5MLOSC Lille
2015-01-14€2.5MLOSC Lille
2015-06-06€3.5MLOSC Lille
2016-02-04€4MLOSC Lille
2016-07-13€10MAS Monaco
2016-11-01€12MAS Monaco
2017-01-16€14MAS Monaco
2017-06-01€18MAS Monaco
2018-01-24€23MAS Monaco
2018-06-04€23MAS Monaco
2018-10-24€18MAS Monaco
2018-12-17€16MAS Monaco
2019-06-03€15MAS Monaco
2019-09-12€12MEverton FC
2019-12-10€12MEverton FC
2020-04-08€9.5MEverton FC
2020-10-12€10MAS Monaco
2021-01-07€7MAS Monaco
2021-06-04€8MAS Monaco
2021-12-16€8MAS Monaco
2022-05-30€8MAS Monaco
2022-11-07€4MAEK Athens
2023-02-27€3MAEK Athens
2023-05-22€2.5MAEK Athens
2023-09-21€2MAEK Athens
2023-12-20€2MAEK Athens
2024-03-06€1.8MAEK Athens
2024-05-30€1.5MAEK Athens
2024-12-10€1.2MFC Toulouse
2025-06-03€1MFC Toulouse
2025-12-15€1MFC Toulouse
2026-06-01€1MFC Toulouse

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.403

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 10% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 35% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sidibé appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).