FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Noë

Dussenne

CBBelgium · Oud-Heverlee Leuven

№ 160736Emerging €431k −0.36

Player dossierPro League

NoëDussenne

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
League
Pro League
Nationality
Belgium
Age
34
Height
192 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Dussenne at €300k. Model A, which never saw Dussenne during training, estimates €431k: the market value is 30% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.44. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €589k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.36A €431k▼ −0.68B €589k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
27
Minutes
2,237
Goals
2
Assists
2
Started
26/27
Min / app
83
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dussenne…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €300kModel A €431k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Noë Dussenne's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 80th, Assists per 90 72nd, Minutes, two years 38th, Starts 88th, Minutes, last 365 days 69th, European club minutes 79th80thGoals72ndAssists38thMinutes88thStarts69thRecent79thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

96% this player83% defender median88th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Nov 2010
Peak
€1.5M
Jul 2016
Model target
€300k
Jun 2026
Valuations
31
12 club changes
Jun 2026€300kOud-Heverlee LeuvenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €300k, Oud-Heverlee Leuven. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2010-11-30€50kUnknown
2012-01-20€100kRAEC Mons (-2015)
2012-06-27€150kRAEC Mons (-2015)
2013-01-02€250kAFC Tubize
2014-02-13€350kRAEC Mons (-2015)
2014-06-28€400kRAEC Mons (-2015)
2015-01-11€700kCercle Brugge
2015-10-22€900kMouscron-Péruwelz
2016-02-07€1.2MMouscron-Péruwelz
2016-07-15€1.5MRoyal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2017-01-02€1.2MFC Crotone
2017-06-08€1MFC Crotone
2018-01-09€900kKAA Gent
2018-06-03€700kKAA Gent
2018-12-27€650kRoyal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2019-06-10€650kRoyal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2019-12-13€650kStandard Liège
2020-04-08€525kStandard Liège
2020-10-16€700kStandard Liège
2021-06-07€600kStandard Liège
2022-01-06€800kStandard Liège
2022-04-12€800kStandard Liège
2022-11-04€1MStandard Liège
2023-06-09€800kStandard Liège
2023-10-19€800kFC Lausanne-Sport
2023-12-21€600kFC Lausanne-Sport
2024-05-31€400kFC Lausanne-Sport
2024-12-23€500kFC Lausanne-Sport
2025-06-10€400kFC Lausanne-Sport
2025-12-10€400kOud-Heverlee Leuven
2026-06-04€300kOud-Heverlee Leuven

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.363

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 3% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 9% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Dussenne appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).