SimenJuklerød

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club: Sint-Truidense VV
League: Pro League
Nationality: Norway
Age: 32
Height: 187 cm
Foot: Left
Valued: 4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Juklerød at €300k. Model A, which never saw Juklerød during training, estimates €723k: the market value is 58% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.41. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 27
Minutes: 950
Goals: 1
Assists: 5
Started: 8/27
Min / app: 35
Cards: 0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Juklerød…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.47 this player0.04 defender median100th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €100k; Dec 2014
Peak: €2.5M; Mar 2019
Model target: €300k; Jun 2026
Valuations: 24; 5 club changes

Jun 2026€300kSint-Truidense VVValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €300k, Sint-Truidense VV. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2014-12-09	€100k	Bærum SK
2015-12-27	€100k	Bærum SK
2016-12-18	€300k	Vålerenga Fotball Elite
2017-12-23	€300k	Vålerenga Fotball Elite
2018-09-11	€700k	Royal Antwerp FC
2018-12-27	€1.8M	Royal Antwerp FC
2019-03-04	€2.5M	Royal Antwerp FC
2019-06-10	€2.5M	Royal Antwerp FC
2019-12-13	€2.2M	Royal Antwerp FC
2020-04-08	€1.7M	Royal Antwerp FC
2020-10-16	€2M	Royal Antwerp FC
2021-01-04	€2.5M	Royal Antwerp FC
2021-06-07	€2.5M	Royal Antwerp FC
2022-01-06	€2M	KRC Genk
2022-04-12	€1.5M	KRC Genk
2022-12-09	€900k	Vålerenga Fotball Elite
2023-06-29	€750k	Vålerenga Fotball Elite
2023-09-07	€650k	Vålerenga Fotball Elite
2023-12-15	€450k	Vålerenga Fotball Elite
2024-06-19	€400k	Vålerenga Fotball Elite
2024-12-12	€400k	Vålerenga Fotball Elite
2025-06-12	€300k	Sint-Truidense VV
2025-12-10	€300k	Sint-Truidense VV
2026-06-04	€300k	Sint-Truidense VV

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: −0.879

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 3% of the 350 Pro League players.

See them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 9% of the 2,065 defenders.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Juklerød appears

TerminalPro League in the Player Explorer
TerminalPro League on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).