PeterMichorl

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club: Atromitos Athens
League: Super League
Nationality: Austria
Age: 31
Height: 176 cm
Foot: Left
Valued: 4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Michorl at €500k. Model A, which never saw Michorl during training, estimates €490k: the market value is 2% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €567k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 49
Minutes: 3,207
Goals: 1
Assists: 7
Started: 37/49
Min / app: 65
Cards: 11Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Michorl…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.20 this player0.09 midfielder median83rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €150k; Jan 2014
Peak: €3M; Dec 2019
Model target: €500k; Jun 2026
Valuations: 29; 2 club changes

Jun 2026€500kAtromitos AthensValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €500k, Atromitos Athens. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2014-01-29	€150k	Austria Vienna
2014-06-20	€150k	Austria Vienna
2014-11-22	€175k	LASK
2015-06-19	€200k	LASK
2015-12-01	€250k	LASK
2016-05-30	€300k	LASK
2016-12-03	€350k	LASK
2017-05-27	€500k	LASK
2017-10-11	€700k	LASK
2018-01-02	€1M	LASK
2018-06-14	€1.5M	LASK
2018-12-19	€1.8M	LASK
2019-06-03	€2.5M	LASK
2019-12-16	€3M	LASK
2020-04-08	€2.4M	LASK
2020-07-22	€3M	LASK
2020-12-21	€3M	LASK
2021-06-02	€2.5M	LASK
2021-12-16	€1.5M	LASK
2022-05-27	€1.5M	LASK
2022-11-10	€1.5M	LASK
2023-06-12	€1.5M	LASK
2023-09-11	€1.2M	LASK
2023-12-11	€800k	LASK
2024-09-26	€500k	Atromitos Athens
2024-12-18	€500k	Atromitos Athens
2025-05-23	€500k	Atromitos Athens
2025-12-12	€500k	Atromitos Athens
2026-06-04	€500k	Atromitos Athens

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: +0.020

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 43% of the 356 Super League players.

See them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 16% of the 1,687 midfielders.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Michorl appears

TerminalSuper League in the Player Explorer
TerminalSuper League on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).