Marco
Friedl
CBAustria · SV Werder Bremen
Player dossierBundesliga
MarcoFriedl
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- SV Werder Bremen
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Austria
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 187 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Friedl at €10M. Model A, which never saw Friedl during training, estimates €4.4M: the market value is 129% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.29. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 60
- Minutes
- 5,073
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 58/60
- Min / app
- 85
- Cards
- 20Y 1R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Friedl…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
97% this player83% defender median89th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Jul 2017
- Peak
- €12M
- Jun 2025
- Model target
- €10M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 25
- 1 club change
May 2026: €10M, SV Werder Bremen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2017-07-12 | €100k | Bayern Munich |
| 2017-10-18 | €250k | Bayern Munich |
| 2017-12-28 | €750k | Bayern Munich |
| 2018-06-05 | €1.5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2018-12-18 | €1.5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2019-06-05 | €2.5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2019-10-02 | €3.5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2019-12-17 | €3.5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2020-04-08 | €3.2M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2020-11-26 | €5.5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2021-02-10 | €7.5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2021-05-27 | €7.5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2021-10-13 | €4.5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2021-12-15 | €3.5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2022-06-16 | €5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2022-11-09 | €6.5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2023-06-22 | €7M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2023-10-18 | €5.5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2023-12-14 | €5.5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2024-03-27 | €6.5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2024-05-29 | €7.5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2024-12-20 | €10M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2025-06-05 | €12M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2025-12-19 | €12M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2026-05-27 | €10M | SV Werder Bremen |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.830
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 65% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 81% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Friedl appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- EggesteinCMSC Freiburg · Bundesliga€10M
- SchlagerCMRB Leipzig · Bundesliga€10M
- LienhartCBSC Freiburg · Bundesliga€10M
- KochCBEintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga€10M
- ŠkriniarCBFenerbahce · defenders€10M
- RrahmaniCBSSC Napoli · defenders€10M
- Maitland-NilesRBOlympique Lyon · defenders€10M
- FaesCBAS Monaco · defenders€10M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).