Magomed
Ozdoev
DMRussia · PAOK Thessaloniki
Player dossierSuper League
MagomedOzdoev
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- PAOK Thessaloniki
- League
- Super League
- Nationality
- Russia
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 184 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Super LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Ozdoev at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Ozdoev during training, estimates €1.8M: the market value is 32% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.47. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 81
- Minutes
- 5,687
- Goals
- 10
- Assists
- 7
- Started
- 66/81
- Min / app
- 70
- Cards
- 14Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ozdoev…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
36% this player0% midfielder median98th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Apr 2010
- Peak
- €7M
- Dec 2019
- Model target
- €1.2M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 38
- 7 club changes
Jun 2026: €1.2M, PAOK Thessaloniki. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-04-02 | €50k | Lokomotiv Moscow II |
| 2010-12-07 | €100k | Lokomotiv Moscow II |
| 2011-05-12 | €800k | Lokomotiv Moskau |
| 2011-07-21 | €1M | Lokomotiv Moskau |
| 2011-12-23 | €1.8M | Lokomotiv Moskau |
| 2012-07-02 | €2.5M | Lokomotiv Moskau |
| 2013-01-20 | €2.5M | Lokomotiv Moskau |
| 2013-06-19 | €2M | Lokomotiv Moskau |
| 2014-03-03 | €1.8M | Lokomotiv Moskau |
| 2014-07-31 | €2M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2015-02-23 | €4.5M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2015-06-18 | €5M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2016-01-06 | €5M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2016-05-25 | €4.5M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2016-12-27 | €3M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2017-06-01 | €2.5M | Terek Grozny |
| 2017-12-23 | €3M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2018-06-06 | €2.5M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2018-12-20 | €2M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2019-04-24 | €2.5M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2019-06-14 | €4M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2019-12-23 | €7M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2020-04-08 | €5.5M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2020-07-29 | €6M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2020-12-29 | €6M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2021-05-26 | €5M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2021-12-29 | €4M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2022-06-02 | €2.5M | Zenit St. Petersburg |
| 2022-10-27 | €2.2M | Fatih Karagümrük |
| 2023-03-14 | €2.2M | Fatih Karagümrük |
| 2023-06-08 | €2.2M | Fatih Karagümrük |
| 2023-09-21 | €2M | PAOK Thessaloniki |
| 2023-12-20 | €2M | PAOK Thessaloniki |
| 2024-05-30 | €2M | PAOK Thessaloniki |
| 2024-12-18 | €1.8M | PAOK Thessaloniki |
| 2025-05-23 | €1.5M | PAOK Thessaloniki |
| 2025-12-12 | €1.5M | PAOK Thessaloniki |
| 2026-06-04 | €1.2M | PAOK Thessaloniki |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.383
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Super League356 players · median €600k
Valued above 69% of the 356 Super League players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 35% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ozdoev appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SiopisDMPanathinaikos · Super League€1.2M
- PelkasAMPAOK Thessaloniki · Super League€1.2M
- MoutoussamyCMAtromitos Athens · Super League€1.2M
- TsiftsisGKPAOK Thessaloniki · Super League€1.2M
- WitselDMGirona FC · midfielders€1.2M
- HendersonDMBrentford FC · midfielders€1.2M
- CabellaAMFC Nantes · midfielders€1.2M
- YokuşluDMTrabzonspor · midfielders€1.2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).