FairValue

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Portrait of Jesús Rodríguez

Jesús

Rodríguez

LWSpain · Como 1907

№ 1190411World Class €22.3M +0.29

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

JesúsRodríguez

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Como 1907
League
Serie A
Nationality
Spain
Age
20
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Rodríguez at €30M. Model A, which never saw Rodríguez during training, estimates €22.3M: the market value is 34% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.34. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €15.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.29A €22.3M▲ +0.67B €15.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
60
Minutes
3,268
Goals
6
Assists
12
Started
38/60
Min / app
54
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rodríguez…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €30M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €30MModel A €22.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Jesús Rodríguez's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 27th, Assists per 90 94th, Minutes, two years 70th, Starts 57th, Minutes, last 365 days 71st, European club minutes 28th27thGoals94thAssists70thMinutes57thStarts71stRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.33 this player0.15 attacker median94th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Mar 2024
Peak
€30M
Jun 2025
Model target
€30M
May 2026
Valuations
8
2 club changes
May 2026€30MComo 1907Valuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €30M, Como 1907. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2024-03-26€25kBetis Deportivo Balompié
2024-06-24€500kBetis Deportivo Balompié
2024-10-14€700kBetis Deportivo Balompié
2024-12-18€1MBetis Deportivo Balompié
2025-03-21€10MReal Betis Balompié
2025-06-09€30MReal Betis Balompié
2025-12-23€30MComo 1907
2026-05-29€30MComo 1907

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.295

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 91% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€30MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 92% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€30MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Rodríguez appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).