FairValue

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Portrait of Dominic Solanke

Dominic

Solanke

CFEngland · Tottenham Hotspur

№ 258889Elite €16.1M +0.55

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

DominicSolanke

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Tottenham Hotspur
League
Premier League
Nationality
England
Age
28
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Solanke at €28M. Model A, which never saw Solanke during training, estimates €16.1M: the market value is 74% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.74. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.55A €16.1M▲ +1.66B €5.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
61
Minutes
4,219
Goals
20
Assists
7
Started
45/61
Min / app
69
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Solanke…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €28M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €28MModel A €16.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Dominic Solanke's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 80th, Assists per 90 51st, Minutes, two years 83rd, Starts 74th, Minutes, last 365 days 44th, European club minutes 87th80thGoals51stAssists83rdMinutes74thStarts44thRecent87thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

23% this player0% attacker median87th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Oct 2014
Peak
€45M
Oct 2024
Model target
€28M
Jun 2026
Valuations
28
4 club changes
Jun 2026€28MTottenham HotspurValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €28M, Tottenham Hotspur. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-10-21€250kChelsea FC U18
2015-11-11€900kVitesse Arnhem
2016-02-05€1.4MVitesse Arnhem
2016-04-08€2MVitesse Arnhem
2017-08-16€3MLiverpool FC
2017-10-23€5MLiverpool FC
2018-01-02€8MLiverpool FC
2018-05-28€10MLiverpool FC
2018-12-19€10MLiverpool FC
2019-03-05€18MAFC Bournemouth
2019-06-13€18MAFC Bournemouth
2019-12-10€15MAFC Bournemouth
2020-04-08€12MAFC Bournemouth
2020-10-15€10MAFC Bournemouth
2021-03-10€10MAFC Bournemouth
2021-06-30€12MAFC Bournemouth
2021-11-24€14MAFC Bournemouth
2022-05-13€16MAFC Bournemouth
2022-11-03€18MAFC Bournemouth
2023-06-20€20MAFC Bournemouth
2023-12-19€25MAFC Bournemouth
2024-03-14€35MAFC Bournemouth
2024-05-27€40MAFC Bournemouth
2024-10-01€45MTottenham Hotspur
2024-12-16€45MTottenham Hotspur
2025-05-30€40MTottenham Hotspur
2025-12-09€35MTottenham Hotspur
2026-06-03€28MTottenham Hotspur

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.553

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 69% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€28MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 91% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€28MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Solanke appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).