Rachid
Ghezzal
RWAlgeria · Olympique Lyon
Player dossierLigue 1
RachidGhezzal
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Olympique Lyon
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- Algeria
- Age
- 34
- Height
- 182 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Ligue 1Reading the valuation
The market values Ghezzal at €600k. Model A, which never saw Ghezzal during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 44% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.79. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €352k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 34
- Minutes
- 1,702
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 19/34
- Min / app
- 50
- Cards
- 3Y 1R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ghezzal…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
1% this player0% attacker median58th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €400k
- Jul 2012
- Peak
- €12M
- May 2021
- Model target
- €600k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 41
- 6 club changes
Jun 2026: €600k, Olympique Lyon. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-07-25 | €400k | Olympique Lyon |
| 2013-01-07 | €700k | Olympique Lyon |
| 2013-01-19 | €1M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2013-05-30 | €1.3M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2014-01-14 | €1.3M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2014-08-07 | €1M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2015-01-14 | €1.3M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2015-06-06 | €2M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2016-02-04 | €2.5M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2016-07-13 | €5.5M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2017-01-16 | €7M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2017-06-01 | €8M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2018-01-24 | €8M | AS Monaco |
| 2018-03-20 | €6M | AS Monaco |
| 2018-06-04 | €4M | AS Monaco |
| 2018-08-13 | €10M | Leicester City |
| 2018-12-19 | €10M | Leicester City |
| 2019-06-13 | €8M | Leicester City |
| 2019-12-12 | €7M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2020-04-08 | €5.5M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2020-08-25 | €5.5M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2020-12-23 | €7M | Besiktas JK |
| 2021-03-16 | €9M | Besiktas JK |
| 2021-05-21 | €12M | Besiktas JK |
| 2021-10-12 | €11M | Besiktas JK |
| 2022-01-04 | €9M | Besiktas JK |
| 2022-03-31 | €8.5M | Besiktas JK |
| 2022-06-01 | €8.5M | Besiktas JK |
| 2022-10-27 | €8M | Besiktas JK |
| 2023-03-14 | €6.5M | Besiktas JK |
| 2023-06-08 | €5M | Besiktas JK |
| 2023-09-27 | €4M | Besiktas JK |
| 2023-12-21 | €3M | Besiktas JK |
| 2024-03-15 | €2M | Besiktas JK |
| 2024-05-31 | €2M | Besiktas JK |
| 2024-10-04 | €1.5M | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2024-12-23 | €1.2M | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2025-03-20 | €1M | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2025-06-18 | €800k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2025-12-15 | €700k | Olympique Lyon |
| 2026-06-01 | €600k | Olympique Lyon |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.584
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 5% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 19% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ghezzal appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SyGKFC Metz · Ligue 1€600k
- SebasCFSC Bastia · Ligue 1€600k
- CoquelinDMFC Nantes · Ligue 1€700k
- AppiahRBAS Saint-Étienne · Ligue 1€700k
- PavolettiCFCagliari Calcio · attackers€600k
- ManéRWKayserispor · attackers€600k
- CerriCFComo 1907 · attackers€600k
- AkbunarRWEyüpspor · attackers€600k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).