Idrissa
Gueye
CFSenegal · Udinese Calcio
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierSerie A
IdrissaGueye
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Udinese Calcio
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Senegal
- Age
- 19
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Serie AReading the valuation
The market values Gueye at €8M. Model A, which never saw Gueye during training, estimates €3.6M: the market value is 120% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.20. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 24
- Minutes
- 575
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 2/24
- Min / app
- 24
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gueye…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% attacker median28th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €1.5M
- Mar 2025
- Peak
- €8M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €8M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 4
- 1 club change
May 2026: €8M, Udinese Calcio. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-12 | €1.5M | FC Metz |
| 2025-06-02 | €4M | FC Metz |
| 2025-12-23 | €4M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2026-05-29 | €8M | Udinese Calcio |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.789
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 60% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 74% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Gueye appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BruyneAMSSC Napoli · Serie A€8M
- BogaLWJuventus FC · Serie A€8M
- MeretGKSSC Napoli · Serie A€8M
- PellegriniAMAS Roma · Serie A€8M
- GriezmannSSAtlético de Madrid · attackers€8M
- KleindienstCFBorussia Mönchengladbach · attackers€8M
- ZivkovicRWPAOK Thessaloniki · attackers€8M
- WilliamsRWAthletic Bilbao · attackers€8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).