AndrijaZivkovic

RWRight WingerAttack

Club: PAOK Thessaloniki
League: Super League
Nationality: Serbia
Age: 29
Height: 169 cm
Foot: Left
Valued: 4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Zivkovic at €8M. Model A, which never saw Zivkovic during training, estimates €8.2M: the market value is 2% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €13.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 75
Minutes: 5,545
Goals: 15
Assists: 24
Started: 61/75
Min / app: 74
Cards: 15Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Zivkovic…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.39 this player0.15 attacker median97th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €2M; Nov 2013
Peak: €18M; Jun 2018
Model target: €8M; Jun 2026
Valuations: 31; 2 club changes

Jun 2026€8MPAOK ThessalonikiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €8M, PAOK Thessaloniki. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2013-11-25	€2M	FK Partizan Belgrade
2014-11-11	€3M	FK Partizan Belgrade
2015-06-15	€4M	FK Partizan Belgrade
2015-11-23	€7M	FK Partizan Belgrade
2016-05-29	€6.5M	FK Partizan Belgrade
2016-07-29	€6.5M	SL Benfica
2017-02-22	€6.5M	SL Benfica
2017-06-26	€7M	SL Benfica
2018-02-07	€7M	SL Benfica
2018-04-16	€12M	SL Benfica
2018-06-13	€18M	SL Benfica
2019-01-11	€18M	SL Benfica
2019-03-18	€16M	SL Benfica
2019-06-07	€10M	SL Benfica
2019-10-11	€8M	SL Benfica
2019-12-30	€5M	SL Benfica
2020-04-08	€4M	SL Benfica
2020-08-17	€4M	SL Benfica
2021-02-12	€4M	PAOK Thessaloniki
2021-05-30	€5M	PAOK Thessaloniki
2021-11-01	€5M	PAOK Thessaloniki
2022-06-09	€6M	PAOK Thessaloniki
2022-11-07	€6M	PAOK Thessaloniki
2023-05-22	€5M	PAOK Thessaloniki
2023-09-21	€6M	PAOK Thessaloniki
2023-12-20	€7M	PAOK Thessaloniki
2024-05-30	€8M	PAOK Thessaloniki
2024-12-18	€8M	PAOK Thessaloniki
2025-05-23	€8M	PAOK Thessaloniki
2025-12-12	€8M	PAOK Thessaloniki
2026-06-04	€8M	PAOK Thessaloniki

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: −0.019

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

8th highest observed value among 356 Super League players.

See them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 74% of the 1,583 attackers.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Zivkovic appears

TerminalSuper League in the Player Explorer
TerminalSuper League on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).