FairValue

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Abdoul Kader

Ouattara

CFBurkina Faso · Cercle Brugge

№ 1176433Emerging €611k −0.42

Player dossierPro League

Abdoul KaderOuattara

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Cercle Brugge
League
Pro League
Nationality
Burkina Faso
Age
21
Height
171 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ouattara at €400k. Model A, which never saw Ouattara during training, estimates €611k: the market value is 35% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.53. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.42A €611k▼ −1.89B €2.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
17
Minutes
777
Goals
4
Assists
0
Started
8/17
Min / app
46
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ouattara…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €611k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Abdoul Kader Ouattara's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 84th, Assists per 90 6th, Minutes, two years 12th, Starts 30th, Minutes, last 365 days 3rd, European club minutes 99th84thGoals6thAssists12thMinutes30thStarts3rdRecent99thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

52% this player0% attacker median99th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Mar 2024
Peak
€900k
Oct 2024
Model target
€400k
Jun 2026
Valuations
8
0 club changes
Jun 2026€400kCercle BruggeValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €400k, Cercle Brugge. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2024-03-22€100kCercle Brugge
2024-06-04€300kCercle Brugge
2024-10-02€900kCercle Brugge
2024-12-11€900kCercle Brugge
2025-06-12€800kCercle Brugge
2025-12-10€800kCercle Brugge
2026-03-13€600kCercle Brugge
2026-06-04€400kCercle Brugge

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.423

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 6% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 11% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ouattara appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).