Kanayo
Megwa
RBEngland · Hibernian FC
Player dossierPremiership
KanayoMegwa
RBRight-BackDefender
- Club
- Hibernian FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- England
- Age
- 22
- Height
- 181 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
PremiershipReading the valuation
The market values Megwa at €200k. Model A, which never saw Megwa during training, estimates €515k: the market value is 61% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.58. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €765k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 14
- Minutes
- 704
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 8/14
- Min / app
- 50
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Megwa…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €200k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
8% this player0% defender median70th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Dec 2023
- Peak
- €200k
- May 2026
- Model target
- €200k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 6
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €200k, Hibernian FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-05 | €50k | Airdrieonians FC |
| 2024-10-04 | €100k | Partick Thistle FC |
| 2024-12-03 | €150k | Partick Thistle FC |
| 2025-10-08 | €150k | Hibernian FC |
| 2025-12-10 | €150k | Hibernian FC |
| 2026-05-20 | €200k | Hibernian FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.946
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 26% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 5% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Megwa appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- HanleyCBHibernian FC · Premiership€200k
- ArmstrongCMAberdeen FC · Premiership€200k
- DevlinRBAberdeen FC · Premiership€200k
- NewellCMHibernian FC · Premiership€200k
- CaroleLBKayserispor · defenders€200k
- ZankaCBFC Copenhagen · defenders€200k
- BambaCBAngers SCO · defenders€200k
- ColemanRBEverton FC · defenders€200k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).