Pylyp
Budkivskyi
CFUkraine · Zorya Lugansk
Player dossierPremier Liha
PylypBudkivskyi
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Zorya Lugansk
- League
- Premier Liha
- Nationality
- Ukraine
- Age
- 34
- Height
- 196 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 2 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Budkivskyi at €300k. Model A, which never saw Budkivskyi during training, estimates €468k: the market value is 36% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.56. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
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Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Budkivskyi…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
88% this player59% attacker median92nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Jan 2011
- Peak
- €2.5M
- Jun 2016
- Model target
- €300k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 30
- 7 club changes
Jun 2026: €300k, Zorya Lugansk. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2011-01-17 | €100k | Illichivets Mariupol |
| 2011-07-04 | €200k | Illichivets Mariupol |
| 2012-01-05 | €400k | Illichivets Mariupol |
| 2012-07-02 | €500k | Illichivets Mariupol |
| 2014-06-30 | €600k | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2014-12-25 | €1M | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2015-06-07 | €1.5M | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2015-12-18 | €2M | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2016-06-01 | €2.5M | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2016-12-27 | €2.5M | Anzhi Makhachkala |
| 2017-06-01 | €2M | Anzhi Makhachkala |
| 2018-01-09 | €1.2M | Anzhi Makhachkala |
| 2018-06-06 | €900k | Anzhi Makhachkala |
| 2019-01-08 | €700k | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2019-06-20 | €700k | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2020-01-08 | €700k | Desna Chernigiv |
| 2020-04-08 | €550k | Desna Chernigiv |
| 2020-09-04 | €600k | Desna Chernigiv |
| 2021-01-14 | €800k | Desna Chernigiv |
| 2021-06-07 | €800k | Desna Chernigiv |
| 2021-12-20 | €700k | Desna Chernigiv |
| 2022-05-18 | €700k | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 2022-12-06 | €700k | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 2023-06-21 | €700k | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 2023-12-11 | €600k | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 2024-06-06 | €500k | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 2024-12-17 | €400k | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2025-06-10 | €350k | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2025-12-18 | €300k | Zorya Lugansk |
| 2026-06-02 | €300k | Zorya Lugansk |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.445
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liha414 players · median €400k
Valued above 27% of the 414 Premier Liha players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 8% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Budkivskyi appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KalitvintsevAMMetalist 1925 Kharkiv · Premier Liha€300k
- KhoblenkoCFChornomorets Odesa · Premier Liha€300k
- GabelokCMChornomorets Odesa · Premier Liha€300k
- AvagimyanAMLNZ Cherkasy · Premier Liha€300k
- TosunCFKasimpasa · attackers€300k
- ZabolotnyiCFSpartak Moscow · attackers€300k
- LinssenCFNEC Nijmegen · attackers€300k
- ForrestRWCeltic FC · attackers€300k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).