FairValue

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Anton

Zabolotnyi

CFRussia · Spartak Moscow

№ 70114Emerging €307k −0.02

Player dossierPremier Liga

AntonZabolotnyi

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Spartak Moscow
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
34
Height
191 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Zabolotnyi at €300k. Model A, which never saw Zabolotnyi during training, estimates €307k: the market value is 2% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €161k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.02A €307k▲ +0.62B €161k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
47
Minutes
3,199
Goals
6
Assists
9
Started
37/47
Min / app
68
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Zabolotnyi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €300kModel A €307k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Anton Zabolotnyi's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 28th, Assists per 90 83rd, Minutes, two years 70th, Starts 82nd, Minutes, last 365 days 19th, European club minutes 28th28thGoals83rdAssists70thMinutes82ndStarts19thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.25 this player0.15 attacker median83rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Apr 2008
Peak
€2.5M
May 2021
Model target
€300k
May 2026
Valuations
35
11 club changes
May 2026€300kSpartak MoscowValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €300k, Spartak Moscow. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2008-04-11€50kCSKA Moscow II
2010-01-29€75kCSKA Moscow II
2010-03-13€250kCSKA Moscow II
2010-10-18€200kVolgar-Gazprom Astrakhan
2011-05-24€350kUral Yekaterinburg
2012-03-29€350kDinamo Bryansk
2013-01-13€300kCSKA Moscow
2013-06-08€300kFC Ufa
2013-12-27€250kFC Ufa
2014-06-29€200kFC Ufa
2016-01-17€200kFC Tosno
2016-07-01€250kFC Tosno
2016-12-27€450kFC Tosno
2017-06-01€600kFC Tosno
2017-10-02€800kFC Tosno
2017-12-23€1.5MFC Tosno
2018-06-06€1.5MZenit St. Petersburg
2018-12-20€1.5MZenit St. Petersburg
2019-06-14€1MZenit St. Petersburg
2019-12-23€1MFC Sochi
2020-04-08€800kFC Sochi
2020-07-29€900kFC Sochi
2020-12-29€1.8MFC Sochi
2021-05-26€2.5MFC Sochi
2021-12-29€2.5MCSKA Moscow
2022-06-02€2MCSKA Moscow
2022-09-12€1.8MCSKA Moscow
2022-11-21€1.2MCSKA Moscow
2023-06-14€1MCSKA Moscow
2023-12-13€1MCSKA Moscow
2024-06-04€900kCSKA Moscow
2024-12-12€750kFC Khimki
2025-06-04€700kFC Khimki
2025-12-16€500kSpartak Moscow
2026-05-26€300kSpartak Moscow

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.022

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 5% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 8% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Zabolotnyi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).