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Pablo

García

RWSpain · Real Betis Balompié

№ 961087Established €5.3M +0.40

Player dossierLaLiga

PabloGarcía

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Real Betis Balompié
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
19
Height
175 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values García at €8M. Model A, which never saw García during training, estimates €5.3M: the market value is 50% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.50. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.40A €5.3M▲ +1.18B €2.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
28
Minutes
750
Goals
2
Assists
1
Started
5/28
Min / app
27
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for García…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €8MModel A €5.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Pablo García's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 45th, Assists per 90 40th, Minutes, two years 11th, Starts 3rd, Minutes, last 365 days 25th, European club minutes 82nd45thGoals40thAssists11thMinutes3rdStarts25thRecent82ndEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

19% this player0% attacker median82nd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Mar 2024
Peak
€10M
Oct 2025
Model target
€8M
Jun 2026
Valuations
10
2 club changes
Jun 2026€8MReal Betis BalompiéValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €8M, Real Betis Balompié. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2024-03-26€25kReal Betis Balompié U19
2024-06-24€25kReal Betis Balompié U19
2024-10-14€50kBetis Deportivo Balompié
2024-12-18€100kBetis Deportivo Balompié
2025-03-27€500kBetis Deportivo Balompié
2025-06-25€5MBetis Deportivo Balompié
2025-10-02€10MReal Betis Balompié
2025-12-12€10MReal Betis Balompié
2026-03-16€8MReal Betis Balompié
2026-06-05€8MReal Betis Balompié

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.403

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 68% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 74% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where García appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).