Jones
El-Abdellaoui
RWMorocco · Celta de Vigo
Player dossierLaLiga
JonesEl-Abdellaoui
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Celta de Vigo
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Morocco
- Age
- 20
- Height
- 184 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
LaLigaReading the valuation
The market values El-Abdellaoui at €8M. Model A, which never saw El-Abdellaoui during training, estimates €10.9M: the market value is 26% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.36. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €7M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 31
- Minutes
- 1,169
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 9/31
- Min / app
- 38
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for El-Abdellaoui…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
31% this player0% attacker median95th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jul 2022
- Peak
- €8M
- Mar 2026
- Model target
- €8M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 12
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €8M, Celta de Vigo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-01 | €50k | Vålerenga Fotball Elite |
| 2022-12-09 | €200k | Vålerenga Fotball Elite |
| 2023-06-29 | €250k | Vålerenga Fotball Elite |
| 2023-12-13 | €350k | KFUM-Kameratene Oslo |
| 2024-06-19 | €900k | Vålerenga Fotball Elite |
| 2024-09-17 | €1.7M | Vålerenga Fotball Elite |
| 2024-12-12 | €2.3M | Vålerenga Fotball Elite |
| 2025-06-25 | €1.5M | Celta de Vigo |
| 2025-10-02 | €4M | Celta de Vigo |
| 2025-12-12 | €4M | Celta de Vigo |
| 2026-03-16 | €8M | Celta de Vigo |
| 2026-06-05 | €8M | Celta de Vigo |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.306
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 74% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where El-Abdellaoui appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GriezmannSSAtlético de Madrid · LaLiga€8M
- LaporteCBAthletic Bilbao · LaLiga€8M
- CanceloRBFC Barcelona · LaLiga€8M
- ChristensenCBFC Barcelona · LaLiga€8M
- KleindienstCFBorussia Mönchengladbach · attackers€8M
- ZivkovicRWPAOK Thessaloniki · attackers€8M
- BogaLWJuventus FC · attackers€8M
- WilliamsRWAthletic Bilbao · attackers€8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).