Robin
Mirisola
CFBelgium · KRC Genk
Player dossierPro League
RobinMirisola
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- KRC Genk
- League
- Pro League
- Nationality
- Belgium
- Age
- 19
- Height
- 184 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Mirisola at €4M. Model A, which never saw Mirisola during training, estimates €5.4M: the market value is 26% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.36. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €12.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 37
- Minutes
- 1,404
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 14/37
- Min / app
- 38
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Mirisola…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
12% this player0% attacker median73rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Oct 2023
- Peak
- €4M
- Jun 2026
- Model target
- €4M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 10
- 1 club change
Jun 2026: €4M, KRC Genk. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-02 | €150k | Jong Genk |
| 2023-12-28 | €400k | Jong Genk |
| 2024-06-20 | €400k | Jong Genk |
| 2024-10-15 | €800k | Jong Genk |
| 2024-12-20 | €800k | Jong Genk |
| 2025-04-24 | €900k | Jong Genk |
| 2025-10-01 | €1.8M | KRC Genk |
| 2025-12-10 | €2.5M | KRC Genk |
| 2026-03-13 | €3.5M | KRC Genk |
| 2026-06-04 | €4M | KRC Genk |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.304
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Pro League350 players · median €1.8M
Valued above 78% of the 350 Pro League players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 59% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Mirisola appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- JanssenCFRoyal Antwerp FC · Pro League€4M
- BertacciniCFRSC Anderlecht · Pro League€4M
- SkorasLWKAA Gent · Pro League€4M
- SikanCFRSC Anderlecht · Pro League€4M
- IcardiCFGalatasaray · attackers€4M
- WilsonCFWest Ham United · attackers€4M
- TraoréRWSunderland AFC · attackers€4M
- GrifoLWSC Freiburg · attackers€4M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).