FairValue

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Vincent

Janssen

CFNetherlands · Royal Antwerp FC

№ 207015Established €2.7M +0.39

Player dossierPro League

VincentJanssen

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Royal Antwerp FC
League
Pro League
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
31
Height
185 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Janssen at €4M. Model A, which never saw Janssen during training, estimates €2.7M: the market value is 47% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.47. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.9M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.39A €2.7M▲ +0.31B €2.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
63
Minutes
5,566
Goals
20
Assists
13
Started
63/63
Min / app
88
Cards
16Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Janssen…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4MModel A €2.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Vincent Janssen's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 61st, Assists per 90 73rd, Minutes, two years 95th, Starts 100th, Minutes, last 365 days 96th, European club minutes 28th61stGoals73rdAssists95thMinutes100thStarts96thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player59% attacker median100th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Jul 2013
Peak
€14M
Aug 2016
Model target
€4M
Jun 2026
Valuations
35
6 club changes
Jun 2026€4MRoyal Antwerp FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €4M, Royal Antwerp FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-07-05€25kAlmere City FC
2014-02-10€100kAlmere City FC
2014-08-15€200kAlmere City FC
2015-02-21€400kAlmere City FC
2015-07-27€500kAZ Alkmaar
2015-11-11€1MAZ Alkmaar
2016-02-05€3MAZ Alkmaar
2016-04-08€6MAZ Alkmaar
2016-08-01€14MTottenham Hotspur
2017-02-20€14MTottenham Hotspur
2017-06-28€13MTottenham Hotspur
2017-10-06€12MFenerbahce
2018-02-12€10MFenerbahce
2018-05-29€9MFenerbahce
2018-12-19€8MTottenham Hotspur
2019-06-13€8MTottenham Hotspur
2019-08-13€8MCF Monterrey
2020-01-10€8MCF Monterrey
2020-04-08€6.5MCF Monterrey
2020-06-27€6.5MCF Monterrey
2020-12-18€6MCF Monterrey
2021-04-21€4.5MCF Monterrey
2021-10-15€4MCF Monterrey
2022-04-11€2.5MCF Monterrey
2022-09-07€4.5MRoyal Antwerp FC
2022-11-04€6MRoyal Antwerp FC
2023-03-22€8MRoyal Antwerp FC
2023-06-09€9MRoyal Antwerp FC
2023-12-19€9MRoyal Antwerp FC
2024-06-04€8MRoyal Antwerp FC
2024-12-11€8MRoyal Antwerp FC
2025-06-12€7MRoyal Antwerp FC
2025-10-01€6MRoyal Antwerp FC
2025-12-10€5MRoyal Antwerp FC
2026-06-04€4MRoyal Antwerp FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.387

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 78% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 59% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Janssen appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).