Diogo
Bezerra
RWBrazil · Rio Ave FC
Player dossierLiga Portugal
DiogoBezerra
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Rio Ave FC
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 186 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Liga PortugalReading the valuation
The market values Bezerra at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Bezerra during training, estimates €902k: the market value is 100% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.00. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 17
- Minutes
- 1,267
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 14/17
- Min / app
- 75
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bezerra…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
82% this player59% attacker median86th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Dec 2024
- Peak
- €1.8M
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €1.8M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 6
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €1.8M, Rio Ave FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-11 | €100k | NS Mura |
| 2025-03-25 | €300k | OFK Beograd |
| 2025-06-12 | €600k | OFK Beograd |
| 2025-09-16 | €1.5M | OFK Beograd |
| 2025-12-11 | €1.8M | OFK Beograd |
| 2026-05-28 | €1.8M | Rio Ave FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.691
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 60% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 43% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Bezerra appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- FontánCBFC Arouca · Liga Portugal€1.8M
- MoraisLWCasa Pia AC · Liga Portugal€1.8M
- MangasLBSporting CP · Liga Portugal€2M
- AmaralLBGD Estoril Praia · Liga Portugal€2M
- ImmobileCFParis FC · attackers€1.8M
- AyewCFLeicester City · attackers€1.8M
- BülterLW1.FC Köln · attackers€1.8M
- FountasLWOFI Crete · attackers€1.8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).