FairValue

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Jovan

Milosevic

CFSerbia · SV Werder Bremen

№ 943795Established €7.7M −0.10

Player dossierBundesliga

JovanMilosevic

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
SV Werder Bremen
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Serbia
Age
20
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Milosevic at €7M. Model A, which never saw Milosevic during training, estimates €7.7M: the market value is 10% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.11. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €12.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.10A €7.7M▼ −0.58B €12.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
22
Minutes
1,027
Goals
7
Assists
2
Started
11/22
Min / app
47
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Milosevic…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €7M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €7MModel A €7.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Jovan Milosevic's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 95th, Assists per 90 61st, Minutes, two years 20th, Starts 35th, Minutes, last 365 days 35th, European club minutes 99th95thGoals61stAssists20thMinutes35thStarts35thRecent99thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

53% this player0% attacker median99th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Sept 2022
Peak
€7M
Dec 2025
Model target
€7M
May 2026
Valuations
11
4 club changes
May 2026€7MSV Werder BremenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €7M, SV Werder Bremen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-09-12€100kFK Vojvodina Novi Sad
2022-11-18€200kFK Vojvodina Novi Sad
2023-06-22€500kFK Vojvodina Novi Sad
2023-12-14€500kVfB Stuttgart
2024-05-31€700kFC St. Gallen 1879
2024-09-27€1MFC St. Gallen 1879
2024-12-23€1MFC St. Gallen 1879
2025-06-12€1MFK Partizan Belgrade
2025-09-16€3MFK Partizan Belgrade
2025-12-11€7MFK Partizan Belgrade
2026-05-27€7MSV Werder Bremen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.101

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 56% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 70% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Milosevic appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).