Kauã
Santos
Player dossierBundesliga
KauãSantos
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Eintracht Frankfurt
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 196 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Santos at €7M. Model A, which never saw Santos during training, estimates €6.2M: the market value is 14% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.14. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 30
- Minutes
- 2,570
- Started
- 29/30
- Min / app
- 86
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Santos…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €7M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
28% this player0% goalkeeper median92nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €400k
- May 2023
- Peak
- €10M
- Oct 2025
- Model target
- €7M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 10
- 1 club change
May 2026: €7M, Eintracht Frankfurt. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-12 | €400k | CR Flamengo U20 |
| 2023-10-18 | €1.5M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2023-12-14 | €1.5M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2024-05-29 | €1.5M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2024-10-09 | €2.5M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2024-12-20 | €2.5M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2025-06-05 | €2.5M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2025-10-14 | €10M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2025-12-19 | €7M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2026-05-27 | €7M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.129
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 56% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 84% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Santos appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- HenrichsRBRB Leipzig · Bundesliga€7M
- HonoratRWBorussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga€7M
- HackLWBorussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga€7M
- BensebainiCBBorussia Dortmund · Bundesliga€7M
- SambaGKStade Rennais FC · goalkeepers€7M
- SilvaGKSporting CP · goalkeepers€7M
- VallesGKReal Betis Balompié · goalkeepers€7M
- DioufGKOGC Nice · goalkeepers€7M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).


