FairValue

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Nordin

Bukala

CMNetherlands · FC Volendam

№ 940095Emerging €825k −0.32

Player dossierEredivisie

NordinBukala

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
FC Volendam
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
20
Height
184 cm
Foot
–
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bukala at €600k. Model A, which never saw Bukala during training, estimates €825k: the market value is 27% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.38. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.32A €825k▼ −1.30B €2.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
28
Minutes
1,990
Goals
2
Assists
1
Started
23/28
Min / app
71
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bukala…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €825k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Nordin Bukala's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 53rd, Assists per 90 26th, Minutes, two years 36th, Starts 74th, Minutes, last 365 days 64th, European club minutes 30th53rdGoals26thAssists36thMinutes74thStarts64thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

82% this player69% midfielder median74th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jan 2024
Peak
€600k
Dec 2025
Model target
€600k
May 2026
Valuations
7
1 club change
May 2026€600kFC VolendamValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €600k, FC Volendam. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2024-01-08€50kFC Utrecht U21
2024-06-10€100kFC Utrecht U21
2025-03-14€275kFC Volendam
2025-06-09€275kFC Volendam
2025-10-02€400kFC Volendam
2025-12-02€600kFC Volendam
2026-05-28€600kFC Volendam

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.319

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 28% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 20% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bukala appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).