Jean-Mattéo
Bahoya
LWFrance · Eintracht Frankfurt
Close-up
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierBundesliga
Jean-MattéoBahoya
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- Eintracht Frankfurt
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- France
- Age
- 21
- Height
- 180 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Bahoya at €25M. Model A, which never saw Bahoya during training, estimates €12.1M: the market value is 107% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.07. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €11.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 70
- Minutes
- 2,965
- Goals
- 7
- Assists
- 8
- Started
- 33/70
- Min / app
- 42
- Cards
- 6Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bahoya…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €25M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
21% this player0% attacker median85th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Sept 2022
- Peak
- €25M
- Oct 2025
- Model target
- €25M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 12
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €25M, Eintracht Frankfurt. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-19 | €100k | Angers SCO B |
| 2022-11-02 | €100k | Angers SCO B |
| 2023-06-27 | €1.5M | Angers SCO |
| 2023-12-13 | €2.5M | Angers SCO |
| 2024-03-27 | €7.5M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2024-05-29 | €7.5M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2024-12-20 | €7.5M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2025-03-27 | €9M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2025-06-05 | €17M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2025-10-14 | €25M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2025-12-19 | €25M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2026-05-27 | €25M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.728
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 87% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 90% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Bahoya appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- RaumLBRB Leipzig · Bundesliga€25M
- RyersonRBBorussia Dortmund · Bundesliga€25M
- PalaciosCMBayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga€25M
- SeiwaldDMRB Leipzig · Bundesliga€25M
- WilsonRWFulham FC · attackers€25M
- ScamaccaCFAtalanta BC · attackers€25M
- WatkinsCFAston Villa · attackers€25M
- NkunkuCFAC Milan · attackers€25M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).