Pio
Esposito
CFItaly · Inter Milan
Player dossierSerie A
PioEsposito
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Inter Milan
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Italy
- Age
- 20
- Height
- 191 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Esposito at €45M. Model A, which never saw Esposito during training, estimates €46.5M: the market value is 3% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.03. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €19.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 51
- Minutes
- 2,405
- Goals
- 11
- Assists
- 7
- Started
- 23/51
- Min / app
- 47
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Esposito…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €45M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
27% this player0% attacker median92nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €1.5M
- Sept 2023
- Peak
- €45M
- Mar 2026
- Model target
- €45M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 11
- 1 club change
May 2026: €45M, Inter Milan. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-03 | €1.5M | Spezia Calcio |
| 2023-12-27 | €3M | Spezia Calcio |
| 2024-06-03 | €3M | Spezia Calcio |
| 2024-10-15 | €5M | Spezia Calcio |
| 2024-12-23 | €10M | Spezia Calcio |
| 2025-03-17 | €17M | Spezia Calcio |
| 2025-06-02 | €25M | Spezia Calcio |
| 2025-10-07 | €30M | Inter Milan |
| 2025-12-23 | €35M | Inter Milan |
| 2026-03-24 | €45M | Inter Milan |
| 2026-05-29 | €45M | Inter Milan |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.033
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 97% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 96% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Esposito appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- MalenCFAS Roma · Serie A€45M
- ÉdersonCMAtalanta BC · Serie A€45M
- DimarcoLBInter Milan · Serie A€50M
- BarellaCMInter Milan · Serie A€50M
- RodrygoRWReal Madrid · attackers€45M
- DialloRWManchester United · attackers€45M
- MartinelliLWArsenal FC · attackers€45M
- AghehowaCFFC Porto · attackers€45M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).