LukaTunjic

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club: Fortuna Sittard
League: Eredivisie
Nationality: Croatia
Age: 20
Height: 183 cm
Foot: Right
Valued: 28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Tunjic at €300k. Model A, which never saw Tunjic during training, estimates €578k: the market value is 48% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.93. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 29
Minutes: 898
Goals: 3
Assists: 1
Started: 7/29
Min / app: 31
Cards: 1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Tunjic…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.30 this player0.08 midfielder median93rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €200k; Oct 2024
Peak: €600k; Oct 2025
Model target: €300k; May 2026
Valuations: 8; 0 club changes

May 2026€300kFortuna SittardValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €300k, Fortuna Sittard. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2024-10-03	€200k	Fortuna Sittard
2024-12-17	€200k	Fortuna Sittard
2025-03-28	€400k	Fortuna Sittard
2025-05-28	€450k	Fortuna Sittard
2025-10-02	€600k	Fortuna Sittard
2025-12-02	€500k	Fortuna Sittard
2026-03-11	€400k	Fortuna Sittard
2026-05-28	€300k	Fortuna Sittard

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: −0.656

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 8% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

See them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 7% of the 1,687 midfielders.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Tunjic appears

TerminalEredivisie in the Player Explorer
TerminalEredivisie on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).