FairValue

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Portrait of Henrik Meister

Henrik

Meister

CFDenmark · Pisa Sporting Club

№ 914934Established €3.7M +0.03

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

HenrikMeister

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Pisa Sporting Club
League
Serie A
Nationality
Denmark
Age
22
Height
192 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Meister at €3.8M. Model A, which never saw Meister during training, estimates €3.7M: the market value is 3% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.03. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.03A €3.7M▲ +1.13B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
33
Minutes
1,641
Goals
3
Assists
0
Started
16/33
Min / app
50
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Meister…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.8MModel A €3.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Henrik Meister's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 27th, Assists per 90 6th, Minutes, two years 35th, Starts 32nd, Minutes, last 365 days 60th, European club minutes 28th27thGoals6thAssists35thMinutes32ndStarts60thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

1,582 this player1,301 attacker median60th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jun 2022
Peak
€5M
Dec 2025
Model target
€3.8M
May 2026
Valuations
14
3 club changes
May 2026€3.8MPisa Sporting ClubValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3.8M, Pisa Sporting Club. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-06-20€100kBK Fremad Amager
2022-09-13€150kBK Fremad Amager
2022-12-22€200kBK Fremad Amager
2023-06-26€200kBK Fremad Amager
2023-09-07€400kSarpsborg 08 FF
2023-12-15€400kSarpsborg 08 FF
2024-06-12€600kSarpsborg 08 FF
2024-10-07€3MStade Rennais FC
2024-12-10€3MStade Rennais FC
2025-06-02€2.8MPisa Sporting Club
2025-10-07€4MPisa Sporting Club
2025-12-23€5MPisa Sporting Club
2026-03-24€4MPisa Sporting Club
2026-05-29€3.8MPisa Sporting Club

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.032

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 38% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€3.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 59% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€3.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Meister appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).