FairValue

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Tommaso

Barbieri

RBItaly · US Cremonese

№ 569939Established €2.7M +0.32

Player dossierSerie A

TommasoBarbieri

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
US Cremonese
League
Serie A
Nationality
Italy
Age
23
Height
181 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Barbieri at €3.8M. Model A, which never saw Barbieri during training, estimates €2.7M: the market value is 38% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.38. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.32A €2.7M▲ +0.70B €1.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
29
Minutes
1,704
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
18/29
Min / app
59
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Barbieri…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.8MModel A €2.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Tommaso Barbieri's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 58th, Minutes, two years 27th, Starts 17th, Minutes, last 365 days 51st, European club minutes 30th18thGoals58thAssists27thMinutes17thStarts51stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.05 this player0.04 defender median58th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Dec 2019
Peak
€4M
Dec 2025
Model target
€3.8M
May 2026
Valuations
15
4 club changes
May 2026€3.8MUS CremoneseValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3.8M, US Cremonese. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-12-16€75kNovara Calcio 1908
2020-07-24€100kNovara Calcio 1908
2021-01-11€100kJuventus U23
2021-06-21€300kJuventus U23
2021-12-20€400kJuventus U23
2022-06-20€500kJuventus U23
2022-12-19€600kJuventus Next Gen
2023-06-19€1.2MJuventus Next Gen
2023-12-27€1.1MPisa Sporting Club
2024-03-25€1.5MPisa Sporting Club
2024-06-03€2MPisa Sporting Club
2024-12-23€1.8MUS Cremonese
2025-06-02€2.5MUS Cremonese
2025-12-23€4MUS Cremonese
2026-05-29€3.8MUS Cremonese

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.325

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 38% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€3.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 65% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Barbieri appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).