AbdulaBagamaev

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club: Fakel Voronezh
League: Premier Liga
Nationality: Russia
Age: 21
Height: 176 cm
Foot: Right
Valued: 3 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Bagamaev at €350k. Model A, which never saw Bagamaev during training, estimates €315k: the market value is 11% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.11. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €288k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 11
Minutes: 459
Goals: 0
Assists: 0
Started: 4/11
Min / app: 42
Cards: 1Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bagamaev…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €350k

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% midfielder median30th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €50k; Aug 2023
Peak: €350k; Dec 2025
Model target: €350k; Dec 2025
Valuations: 8; 2 club changes

Dec 2025€350kFakel VoronezhValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €350k, Fakel Voronezh. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2023-08-01	€50k	Fakel Voronezh
2023-12-13	€75k	Fakel Voronezh
2024-06-04	€75k	Fakel Voronezh
2024-09-18	€100k	Fakel Voronezh
2024-12-12	€100k	Fakel Voronezh
2025-03-19	€200k	Dinamo Vladivostok
2025-06-18	€225k	Dinamo Vladivostok
2025-12-03	€350k	Fakel Voronezh

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: +0.106

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 8% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

See them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 10% of the 1,687 midfielders.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Bagamaev appears

TerminalPremier Liga in the Player Explorer
TerminalPremier Liga on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).