FairValue

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Yarek

Gasiorowski

CBSpain · PSV Eindhoven

№ 895334Elite €17M +0.06

Player dossierEredivisie

YarekGasiorowski

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
PSV Eindhoven
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Spain
Age
21
Height
191 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Gasiorowski at €18M. Model A, which never saw Gasiorowski during training, estimates €17M: the market value is 6% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.06. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €13.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.06A €17M▲ +0.26B €13.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
57
Minutes
4,135
Goals
3
Assists
2
Started
46/57
Min / app
73
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gasiorowski…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €18M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €18MModel A €17M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Yarek Gasiorowski's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 72nd, Assists per 90 53rd, Minutes, two years 71st, Starts 46th, Minutes, last 365 days 87th, European club minutes 76th72ndGoals53rdAssists71stMinutes46thStarts87thRecent76thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,895 this player1,687 defender median87th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Sept 2023
Peak
€18M
May 2026
Model target
€18M
May 2026
Valuations
10
2 club changes
May 2026€18MPSV EindhovenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €18M, PSV Eindhoven. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2023-09-11€200kValencia Mestalla
2023-10-13€1MValencia CF
2023-12-22€10MValencia CF
2024-06-07€15MValencia CF
2024-12-27€15MValencia CF
2025-03-21€12MValencia CF
2025-06-09€7.5MValencia CF
2025-10-02€10MPSV Eindhoven
2025-12-02€16MPSV Eindhoven
2026-05-28€18MPSV Eindhoven

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.056

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 96% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€18MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 89% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€18MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Gasiorowski appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).