FairValue

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Yaroslav

Rakitskyi

CBUkraine · Chornomorets Odesa

№ 89222Emerging €92k +1.00

Player dossierPremier Liha

YaroslavRakitskyi

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Chornomorets Odesa
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
36
Height
180 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
18 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Rakitskyi at €250k. Model A, which never saw Rakitskyi during training, estimates €92k: the market value is 171% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.71. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €228k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +1.00A €92k▲ +0.09B €228k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
14
Minutes
894
Goals
0
Assists
2
Started
12/14
Min / app
64
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rakitskyi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €250kModel A €92k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Yaroslav Rakitskyi's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 95th, Minutes, two years 9th, Starts 57th, Minutes, last 365 days 14th, European club minutes 72nd18thGoals95thAssists9thMinutes57thStarts14thRecent72ndEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.20 this player0.04 defender median95th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Oct 2008
Peak
€12M
Jan 2013
Model target
€250k
Dec 2025
Valuations
39
7 club changes
Dec 2025€250kChornomorets OdesaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €250k, Chornomorets Odesa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2008-10-10€50kShakhtar Donetsk II
2009-01-12€150kShakhtar Donetsk II
2009-02-04€100kShakhtar Donetsk II
2009-09-21€800kShakhtar Donetsk
2010-02-16€3.3MShakhtar Donetsk
2010-08-28€4.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2011-01-02€5.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2011-03-11€8MShakhtar Donetsk
2012-07-02€10MShakhtar Donetsk
2013-01-22€12MShakhtar Donetsk
2014-06-30€12MShakhtar Donetsk
2014-12-25€12MShakhtar Donetsk
2015-06-07€10MShakhtar Donetsk
2015-12-18€10MShakhtar Donetsk
2016-06-01€10MShakhtar Donetsk
2016-07-21€10MShakhtar Donetsk
2017-01-03€10MShakhtar Donetsk
2017-06-26€9MShakhtar Donetsk
2018-01-12€8.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2018-08-06€8.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2018-12-10€7.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2019-04-24€8MZenit St. Petersburg
2019-06-14€10MZenit St. Petersburg
2019-12-23€10MZenit St. Petersburg
2020-04-08€8MZenit St. Petersburg
2020-07-29€8MZenit St. Petersburg
2020-12-29€7MZenit St. Petersburg
2021-06-02€6MZenit St. Petersburg
2021-12-29€6MZenit St. Petersburg
2022-05-18€6MWithout Club
2022-09-13€4.5MAdana Demirspor
2022-10-27€3MAdana Demirspor
2023-06-21€2MShakhtar Donetsk
2023-12-11€1.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2024-06-06€1MShakhtar Donetsk
2024-10-16€700kWithout Club
2025-03-28€400kChornomorets Odesa
2025-06-10€300kChornomorets Odesa
2025-12-18€250kChornomorets Odesa

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.997

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 17% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 7% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Rakitskyi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).