Promise
David
CFCanada · Union Saint-Gilloise
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierPro League
PromiseDavid
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Union Saint-Gilloise
- League
- Pro League
- Nationality
- Canada
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 195 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Pro LeagueReading the valuation
The market values David at €17M. Model A, which never saw David during training, estimates €9.4M: the market value is 81% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.81. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €13M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 60
- Minutes
- 3,501
- Goals
- 23
- Assists
- 6
- Started
- 41/60
- Min / app
- 58
- Cards
- 11Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for David…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €17M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Goals per 90
Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.
0.59 this player0.26 attacker median94th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €10k
- Nov 2021
- Peak
- €17M
- Mar 2026
- Model target
- €17M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 15
- 4 club changes
Jun 2026: €17M, Union Saint-Gilloise. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-25 | €10k | FC Tulsa |
| 2022-04-20 | €100k | Valletta FC |
| 2022-11-22 | €50k | Sirens FC |
| 2023-04-05 | €50k | Kalju FC |
| 2023-07-10 | €75k | Kalju FC |
| 2023-11-29 | €125k | Kalju FC |
| 2024-05-15 | €300k | Kalju FC |
| 2024-10-02 | €400k | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2024-12-11 | €1.5M | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2025-03-26 | €6M | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2025-06-12 | €11M | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2025-10-01 | €13M | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2025-12-10 | €13M | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2026-03-13 | €17M | Union Saint-Gilloise |
| 2026-06-04 | €17M | Union Saint-Gilloise |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.592
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Pro League350 players · median €1.8M
Valued above 97% of the 350 Pro League players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 84% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where David appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- OuahdiRBKRC Genk · Pro League€17M
- ForbsRWClub Brugge KV · Pro League€20M
- SeysLBClub Brugge KV · Pro League€20M
- OnyedikaDMClub Brugge KV · Pro League€23M
- DoanRWEintracht Frankfurt · attackers€17M
- JesusCFArsenal FC · attackers€17M
- KamińskiLW1.FC Köln · attackers€17M
- PepêRWFC Porto · attackers€17M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).