Ismahila
Ouédraogo
Player dossierSuperliga
IsmahilaOuédraogo
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Odense Boldklub
- League
- Superliga
- Nationality
- Burkina Faso
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 169 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 25 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Ouédraogo at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Ouédraogo during training, estimates €1.5M: the market value is 21% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.26. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 47
- Minutes
- 3,932
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 45/47
- Min / app
- 84
- Cards
- 9Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ouédraogo…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
96% this player69% midfielder median94th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €300k
- Dec 2021
- Peak
- €1.2M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €1.2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 11
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €1.2M, Odense Boldklub. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-28 | €300k | PAOK Thessaloniki B |
| 2022-06-27 | €300k | PAOK Thessaloniki B |
| 2023-02-27 | €300k | PAOK Thessaloniki B |
| 2023-06-19 | €300k | PAOK Thessaloniki B |
| 2023-12-20 | €400k | Panserraikos |
| 2024-03-06 | €500k | Panserraikos |
| 2024-05-30 | €500k | Panserraikos |
| 2024-12-18 | €600k | Atromitos Athens |
| 2025-05-23 | €700k | Atromitos Athens |
| 2025-12-15 | €1M | Odense Boldklub |
| 2026-05-25 | €1.2M | Odense Boldklub |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.230
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Superliga256 players · median €800k
Valued above 61% of the 256 Superliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 35% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ouédraogo appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- VanlerbergheCBBröndby IF · Superliga€1.2M
- MbomCMViborg FF · Superliga€1.2M
- RadicCBViborg FF · Superliga€1.2M
- VilladsenRBBröndby IF · Superliga€1.2M
- WitselDMGirona FC · midfielders€1.2M
- HendersonDMBrentford FC · midfielders€1.2M
- CabellaAMFC Nantes · midfielders€1.2M
- OzdoevDMPAOK Thessaloniki · midfielders€1.2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).
