FairValue

Checking model

Esc

  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
  • EnvironmentTerminalExplore, compare and track players; market, league and model views.
  • EnvironmentStoriesValuations, head-to-heads and research findings, told as stories.
  • TerminalPlayer ExplorerSearch, filter and sort the player export.
  • TerminalComparison StudioTwo to four players on one scale.
  • TerminalWatchlistsNamed collections, kept in this browser.
  • TerminalMarket LandscapeHow observed value is distributed, and where the model drifts.

↑ ↓ to move · Enter to open · Esc to closeLoading player index…

Yassine

Khalifi

CMMorocco · Royal Charleroi SC

№ 869462Emerging €530k +0.90

Player dossierPro League

YassineKhalifi

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Royal Charleroi SC
League
Pro League
Nationality
Morocco
Age
20
Height
173 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Khalifi at €1.3M. Model A, which never saw Khalifi during training, estimates €530k: the market value is 145% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.45. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €567k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.90A €530k▲ +0.83B €567k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
20
Minutes
612
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
4/20
Min / app
31
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Khalifi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.3MModel A €530k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Yassine Khalifi's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 70th, Minutes, two years 4th, Starts 1st, Minutes, last 365 days 16th, European club minutes 30th10thGoals70thAssists4thMinutes1stStarts16thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.15 this player0.09 midfielder median70th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€10k
Apr 2023
Peak
€1.3M
Jun 2026
Model target
€1.3M
Jun 2026
Valuations
7
3 club changes
Jun 2026€1.3MRoyal Charleroi SCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.3M, Royal Charleroi SC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2023-04-14€10kUnion Touarga Sportif
2023-07-03€10kMohammed VI Football Academy
2024-06-28€50kLOSC Lille B
2025-08-25€200kRoyal Charleroi SC
2025-12-10€400kRoyal Charleroi SC
2026-03-13€800kRoyal Charleroi SC
2026-06-04€1.3MRoyal Charleroi SC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.897

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 37% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€1.3MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 38% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Khalifi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).