FairValue

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Oliver

Braude

RBNorway · SC Heerenveen

№ 869067Established €3.9M +0.26

Player dossierEredivisie

OliverBraude

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
SC Heerenveen
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Norway
Age
22
Height
178 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Braude at €5M. Model A, which never saw Braude during training, estimates €3.9M: the market value is 30% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.30. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.26A €3.9M▼ −0.25B €6.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
71
Minutes
5,999
Goals
1
Assists
7
Started
69/71
Min / app
84
Cards
17Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Braude…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €5MModel A €3.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Oliver Braude's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 37th, Assists per 90 79th, Minutes, two years 93rd, Starts 91st, Minutes, last 365 days 92nd, European club minutes 30th37thGoals79thAssists93rdMinutes91stStarts92ndRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,999 this player2,860 defender median93rd percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Oct 2023
Peak
€5M
May 2026
Model target
€5M
May 2026
Valuations
9
0 club changes
May 2026€5MSC HeerenveenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €5M, SC Heerenveen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2023-10-13€50kSC Heerenveen
2023-12-15€1MSC Heerenveen
2024-03-18€2MSC Heerenveen
2024-05-31€2MSC Heerenveen
2024-12-17€2.5MSC Heerenveen
2025-03-28€3.5MSC Heerenveen
2025-05-28€4MSC Heerenveen
2025-12-02€4.5MSC Heerenveen
2026-05-28€5MSC Heerenveen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.260

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 80% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 70% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Braude appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).