FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Mohamed

Azzi

RBAlgeria · Dinamo Makhachkala

№ 863190Emerging €1.8M −0.57

Player dossierPremier Liga

MohamedAzzi

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Dinamo Makhachkala
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Algeria
Age
24
Height
177 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Azzi at €1M. Model A, which never saw Azzi during training, estimates €1.8M: the market value is 44% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.77. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.57A €1.8M▼ −0.58B €1.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
43
Minutes
3,397
Goals
4
Assists
2
Started
38/43
Min / app
79
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Azzi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €1.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Mohamed Azzi's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 88th, Assists per 90 58th, Minutes, two years 60th, Starts 65th, Minutes, last 365 days 76th, European club minutes 30th88thGoals58thAssists60thMinutes65thStarts76thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.11 this player0.03 defender median88th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2023
Peak
€1M
May 2026
Model target
€1M
May 2026
Valuations
8
1 club change
May 2026€1MDinamo MakhachkalaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1M, Dinamo Makhachkala. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2023-07-27€50kCR Belouizdad
2024-02-02€100kCR Belouizdad
2024-06-26€150kCR Belouizdad
2025-01-03€225kCR Belouizdad
2025-03-19€350kDinamo Makhachkala
2025-06-04€800kDinamo Makhachkala
2025-12-16€800kDinamo Makhachkala
2026-05-26€1MDinamo Makhachkala

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.574

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 44% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 35% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Azzi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).