Will
Dennis
GKEngland · AFC Bournemouth
Player dossierPremier League
WillDennis
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- AFC Bournemouth
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- England
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 188 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 9 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Dennis at €350k. Model A, which never saw Dennis during training, estimates €2M: the market value is 82% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×5.71. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €650k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 17
- Minutes
- 1,530
- Started
- 17/17
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dennis…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €350k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Jul 2020
- Peak
- €350k
- May 2024
- Model target
- €350k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 13
- 3 club changes
Dec 2025: €350k, AFC Bournemouth. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-07-30 | €100k | AFC Bournemouth U23 |
| 2020-10-15 | €100k | AFC Bournemouth U23 |
| 2021-03-10 | €100k | AFC Bournemouth U23 |
| 2021-06-30 | €100k | AFC Bournemouth U23 |
| 2021-11-24 | €100k | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2022-05-13 | €100k | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2022-11-03 | €200k | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2023-06-20 | €150k | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2023-12-05 | €175k | Kilmarnock FC |
| 2024-05-30 | €350k | Kilmarnock FC |
| 2024-12-16 | €350k | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2025-05-30 | €350k | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2025-12-09 | €350k | AFC Bournemouth |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −1.742
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 2% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 20% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Dennis appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- YoungRBIpswich Town · Premier League€400k
- ForsterGKAFC Bournemouth · Premier League€400k
- MurrayLMWigan Athletic · Premier League€400k
- BalcombeGKBrentford FC · Premier League€400k
- BatzGK1.FSV Mainz 05 · goalkeepers€350k
- RoblesGKGD Estoril Praia · goalkeepers€350k
- PirardGKStandard Liège · goalkeepers€350k
- ObukhovGKFakel Voronezh · goalkeepers€350k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).