FairValue

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Junnosuke

Suzuki

CBJapan · FC Copenhagen

№ 848856Established €3.6M −0.04

Player dossierSuperliga

JunnosukeSuzuki

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
FC Copenhagen
League
Superliga
Nationality
Japan
Age
22
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Suzuki at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Suzuki during training, estimates €3.6M: the market value is 4% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.04. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.04A €3.6M▼ −0.10B €3.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
24
Minutes
1,983
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
22/24
Min / app
83
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Suzuki…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.5MModel A €3.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Junnosuke Suzuki's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 61st, Assists per 90 54th, Minutes, two years 33rd, Starts 75th, Minutes, last 365 days 61st, European club minutes 94th61stGoals54thAssists33rdMinutes75thStarts61stRecent94thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

29% this player0% defender median94th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jun 2022
Peak
€3.5M
May 2026
Model target
€3.5M
May 2026
Valuations
9
1 club change
May 2026€3.5MFC CopenhagenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3.5M, FC Copenhagen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-06-28€50kShonan Bellmare
2023-01-06€50kShonan Bellmare
2023-06-28€50kShonan Bellmare
2024-02-22€150kShonan Bellmare
2024-06-12€250kShonan Bellmare
2024-12-10€350kShonan Bellmare
2025-05-29€650kShonan Bellmare
2025-12-15€2MFC Copenhagen
2026-05-25€3.5MFC Copenhagen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.037

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 86% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 63% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Suzuki appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).