FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
  • EnvironmentTerminalExplore, compare and track players; market, league and model views.
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  • TerminalMarket LandscapeHow observed value is distributed, and where the model drifts.

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Bouke

Boersma

CFNetherlands · KV Mechelen

№ 846826Established €3.2M −0.25

Player dossierPro League

BoukeBoersma

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
KV Mechelen
League
Pro League
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
20
Height
–
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Boersma at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Boersma during training, estimates €3.2M: the market value is 22% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.29. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.25A €3.2M▲ +0.40B €1.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
18
Minutes
1,356
Goals
3
Assists
3
Started
15/18
Min / app
75
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Boersma…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €3.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Bouke Boersma's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 36th, Assists per 90 70th, Minutes, two years 28th, Starts 87th, Minutes, last 365 days 53rd, European club minutes 28th36thGoals70thAssists28thMinutes87thStarts53rdRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

83% this player59% attacker median87th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€225k
Oct 2025
Peak
€2.5M
Jun 2026
Model target
€2.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
4
1 club change
Jun 2026€2.5MKV MechelenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2.5M, KV Mechelen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2025-10-14€225kDe Graafschap Doetinchem
2025-12-16€450kDe Graafschap Doetinchem
2026-03-13€1MKV Mechelen
2026-06-04€2.5MKV Mechelen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.252

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 60% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 48% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Boersma appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).