FairValue

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Timothée

Kolodziejczak

CBFrance · Paris FC

№ 84085Emerging €222k −0.39

Player dossierLigue 1

TimothéeKolodziejczak

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Paris FC
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
France
Age
34
Height
183 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kolodziejczak at €150k. Model A, which never saw Kolodziejczak during training, estimates €222k: the market value is 33% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.48. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €160k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.39A €222k▼ −0.06B €160k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
11
Minutes
660
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
7/11
Min / app
60
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kolodziejczak…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €150k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €150kModel A €222k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Timothée Kolodziejczak's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 4th, Starts 19th, Minutes, last 365 days 17th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists4thMinutes19thStarts17thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% defender median30th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€400k
Aug 2008
Peak
€7M
Feb 2016
Model target
€150k
Jun 2026
Valuations
40
8 club changes
Jun 2026€150kParis FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €150k, Paris FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2008-08-24€400kOlympique Lyon
2008-12-30€600kOlympique Lyon
2009-12-22€750kOlympique Lyon
2010-12-28€900kOlympique Lyon
2011-05-24€950kOlympique Lyon
2011-06-28€1MOlympique Lyon
2011-12-24€850kOlympique Lyon
2012-05-23€600kOlympique Lyon
2013-01-07€1.5MOGC Nice
2013-05-30€3MOGC Nice
2014-01-14€3.5MOGC Nice
2014-08-07€4.5MOGC Nice
2014-10-05€3MSevilla FC
2015-01-23€3MSevilla FC
2015-07-01€4MSevilla FC
2016-02-22€7MSevilla FC
2016-07-15€7MSevilla FC
2017-02-07€7MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2017-06-19€6MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2018-04-10€2.5MTigres UANL
2018-10-24€4MAS Saint-Étienne
2018-12-17€6MAS Saint-Étienne
2019-06-03€6MAS Saint-Étienne
2019-12-19€6MAS Saint-Étienne
2020-04-08€4.8MAS Saint-Étienne
2020-10-15€4.5MAS Saint-Étienne
2021-01-07€4MAS Saint-Étienne
2021-06-04€4MAS Saint-Étienne
2021-12-16€3.5MAS Saint-Étienne
2022-05-30€2.5MAS Saint-Étienne
2022-10-07€2MWithout Club
2023-03-29€700kFC Schalke 04
2023-06-22€400kFC Schalke 04
2023-12-13€400kParis FC
2024-03-26€300kParis FC
2024-06-11€250kParis FC
2024-12-04€250kParis FC
2025-06-02€250kParis FC
2025-12-15€200kParis FC
2026-06-01€150kParis FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.394

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 0% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 3% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kolodziejczak appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).