Nidal
Celik
CBBosnia-Herzegovina · RC Lens
Player dossierLigue 1
NidalCelik
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- RC Lens
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- Bosnia-Herzegovina
- Age
- 19
- Height
- 192 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Ligue 1Reading the valuation
The market values Celik at €7M. Model A, which never saw Celik during training, estimates €8.8M: the market value is 20% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.25. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.9M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 12
- Minutes
- 1,008
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 12/12
- Min / app
- 84
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Celik…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €7M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
39% this player0% defender median98th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €300k
- Jun 2024
- Peak
- €7M
- Jun 2026
- Model target
- €7M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 9
- 1 club change
Jun 2026: €7M, RC Lens. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-11 | €300k | FK Sarajevo |
| 2024-09-16 | €500k | FK Sarajevo |
| 2024-12-19 | €1M | FK Sarajevo |
| 2025-03-24 | €1.8M | RC Lens |
| 2025-06-03 | €1.8M | RC Lens |
| 2025-10-10 | €1.2M | RC Lens |
| 2025-12-15 | €1M | RC Lens |
| 2026-03-27 | €4M | RC Lens |
| 2026-06-01 | €7M | RC Lens |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.224
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 54% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 76% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Celik appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SambaGKStade Rennais FC · Ligue 1€7M
- SimonLWParis FC · Ligue 1€7M
- PerraudLBLOSC Lille · Ligue 1€7M
- CastilloRWStade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1€7M
- HenrichsRBRB Leipzig · defenders€7M
- RobertsonLBLiverpool FC · defenders€7M
- HermosoCBAS Roma · defenders€7M
- BensebainiCBBorussia Dortmund · defenders€7M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).