Ismaël
Gharbi
LWTunisia · FC Augsburg
Player dossierBundesliga
IsmaëlGharbi
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- FC Augsburg
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Tunisia
- Age
- 22
- Height
- 180 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Gharbi at €5M. Model A, which never saw Gharbi during training, estimates €6.2M: the market value is 20% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.25. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 41
- Minutes
- 1,718
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 5
- Started
- 18/41
- Min / app
- 42
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gharbi…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
23% this player0% attacker median88th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €400k
- Aug 2021
- Peak
- €7.5M
- Mar 2024
- Model target
- €5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 16
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €5M, FC Augsburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-08-06 | €400k | Paris Saint-Germain U19 |
| 2021-12-16 | €800k | Paris Saint-Germain U19 |
| 2022-03-30 | €1M | Paris Saint-Germain U19 |
| 2022-05-30 | €1.5M | Paris Saint-Germain U19 |
| 2022-11-02 | €1.5M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2023-03-27 | €5M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2023-06-27 | €5M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2023-10-19 | €5M | FC Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy |
| 2023-12-21 | €5M | FC Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy |
| 2024-03-28 | €7.5M | FC Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy |
| 2024-05-31 | €7.5M | FC Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy |
| 2024-12-19 | €7.5M | SC Braga |
| 2025-05-30 | €7.5M | SC Braga |
| 2025-12-19 | €7M | FC Augsburg |
| 2026-03-20 | €5M | FC Augsburg |
| 2026-05-27 | €5M | FC Augsburg |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.223
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 46% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 64% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Gharbi appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- OrbánCBRB Leipzig · Bundesliga€5M
- GinterCBSC Freiburg · Bundesliga€5M
- GuerreiroLBBayern Munich · Bundesliga€5M
- VavroCBVfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga€5M
- WoodCFNottingham Forest · attackers€5M
- PolitanoRWSSC Napoli · attackers€5M
- SaïdSSRC Lens · attackers€5M
- ThauvinRWRC Lens · attackers€5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).